0x2dc3DE961515f1A8cb73476c3e5f51bc674411Df-1770817707342
0x2dc3de961515f1a8cb73476c3e5f51bc674411df
- Realised P&L
- $-707.70
- Volume
- $87.5k
- Markets traded
- 495
- Open portfolio
- $3.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded495
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 30? · No | 0.047 | 0.019 | $2.08 | −$2.92 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.007 | $1.10 | −$3.90 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.48 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 6? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 8? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.27at 0.445Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?
- +$38.51at 0.616Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?
- +$32.93at 0.265Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
- +$26.40at 0.219Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$24.65at 0.569Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 20:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0468164794 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 16:16 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 03:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | SELL | 0.49 | $22.18 |
| 09-23 09:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.2199999965 | $9.96 |
| 09-21 21:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 21:08 | Will MrBeast hit 521 million subscribers by September 30? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 09-21 08:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.0459999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 06:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $10.48 |
| 09-13 23:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.10 |
| 09-13 23:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.003309322 | $0.20 |
| 09-13 19:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.99 |
| 09-13 19:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 05:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.3699999789 | $2.80 |
| 09-07 21:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |