0x2DC1F454d802CBaA97C23c38FdcE1e7d64Bb95eB-1790447761041
0x2dc1f454d802cbaa97c23c38fdce1e7d64bb95eb
- Realised P&L
- $0.17
- Volume
- $335.00
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $26.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 28? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.075 | $16.82 | −$3.18 |
| Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.298 | 0.285 | $6.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? · Yes | 0.850 | 1.000 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 28? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.155 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 28? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.014 | $0.43 | −$1.57 |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 28? · No | 0.310 | 0.005 | $0.03 | −$1.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$1.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.0882955428 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 22:45 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.0876936563 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 19:26 | Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 28? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 19:06 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:02 | Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2978723404 | $7.00 |
| 09-27 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.0651162785 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.0902771509 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.0904911862 | $5.00 |