Nisse0905
0x2dbe6285ccafdeabff584cad4a8e7630cfd48503
- Realised P&L
- $-12.84
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $121.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.537Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- +$-0.60at 0.049Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$-1.67at 0.090US forces enter Iran by March 7?
- +$-1.73at 0.170Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:47 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD? | BUY | 0.0697975863 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 10:46 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1828690977 | $3.91 |
| 09-18 18:59 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:58 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.048 | $1.06 |
| 09-17 17:50 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.82 |
| 09-17 16:16 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0263029752 | $13.00 |
| 09-07 17:48 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 13:33 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 14:45 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 16:48 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL | 0.0342441946 | $1.40 |
| 06-11 13:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.0810000066 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 15:45 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 09:12 | Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.0389999815 | $2.00 |
| 03-07 08:31 | Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.27 |
| 03-07 07:59 | US forces enter Iran by March 7? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.33 |