trader-2db90f8b
0x2db90f8bf381b2092654fe1de8950a1195ec846c
- Realised P&L
- $9.71
- Volume
- $67.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,652
- Open portfolio
- $372.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,652
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? · No | 0.959 | 0.955 | $41.67 | −$0.18 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · No | 0.987 | 0.983 | $39.80 | −$0.20 |
| Spread: Toledo (-5.5) · Temple | 0.510 | 0.875 | $34.31 | +$14.31 |
| UConn vs. Southern Miss · UConn | 0.600 | 0.595 | $24.62 | −$0.21 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · No | 0.994 | 0.989 | $24.20 | −$0.13 |
| East Carolina vs. Old Dominion · East Carolina | 0.450 | 0.515 | $22.89 | +$2.89 |
| Spread: Baylor (-19.5) · Baylor | 0.526 | 0.585 | $22.25 | +$2.25 |
| Spread: South Alabama (-6.5) · South Alabama | 0.520 | 0.525 | $20.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? · No | 0.990 | 0.994 | $20.18 | +$0.07 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · No | 0.982 | 0.986 | $20.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September? · No | 0.993 | 0.994 | $20.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $20.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · No | 0.995 | 0.996 | $19.43 | +$0.01 |
| James Madison vs. San Diego State · San Diego State | 0.560 | 0.545 | $12.54 | −$0.35 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · No | 0.970 | 0.961 | $12.20 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.85at 0.265Hurricanes vs. Flyers
- +$255.87at 0.308Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs
- +$95.63at 0.378Senators vs. Jets
- +$88.74at 0.360Kings vs. Panthers
- +$88.26at 0.240Canadiens vs. Senators
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 21:39 | UConn vs. Southern Miss | BUY | 0.6 | $18.06 |
| 09-19 21:35 | East Carolina vs. Old Dominion | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 16:29 | Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4699999926 | $5.10 |
| 09-19 15:14 | Fresno State vs. San Jose State | BUY | 0.3499999877 | $8.52 |
| 09-19 15:13 | James Madison vs. San Diego State | BUY | 0.5599999844 | $12.89 |
| 09-19 15:13 | UConn vs. Southern Miss | BUY | 0.5999999823 | $6.77 |
| 09-19 15:12 | Spread: South Alabama (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 15:10 | Spread: Old Dominion (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $4.18 |
| 09-19 15:09 | Spread: Baylor (-19.5) | BUY | 0.5257936487 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 15:08 | Spread: Toledo (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 15:06 | Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5399999622 | $4.29 |
| 09-19 15:04 | Spread: Wisconsin (-23.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $3.38 |
| 09-19 15:01 | Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin | BUY | 0.96 | $11.53 |
| 09-19 14:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9859999834 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 13:49 | Spread: Georgia (-24.5) | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |