PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x12e3A0501EC1e07143B428ebdeef3828C56a3bde-1757554179346

0x2db3880dd6bee54419b3307a0e4e86b198f427fd

Realised P&L
$0.20
Volume
$68.77
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$8.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.7500.745$1.49−$0.01
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4? · Yes0.9300.910$1.30−$0.03
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? · Yes0.8900.845$1.16−$0.06
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6900.600$1.16−$0.17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5100.350$1.15−$0.52
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2300.225$1.08−$0.02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6900.715$1.04+$0.04
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:52Will T1 win Worlds 2026?BUY0.2299999854$1.10
11-01 20:50Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?BUY0.75$1.50
10-28 21:17Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5099999695$1.67
10-28 21:17Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.66$1.67
10-27 17:48Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.689999725$1.33
10-27 17:44Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4?BUY0.9299996923$1.33
10-27 17:43Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?BUY0.8899999343$1.22
10-26 02:28Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?BUY0.5199998796$1.90
10-26 02:24Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.75$1.00
10-26 02:21Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.889999911$1.00
10-26 02:21Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7069998713$1.00
10-26 02:11Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.999$4.00
10-25 20:582026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.65$0.94
10-22 23:23Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.619999771$1.57
10-22 23:21Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6899996964$1.00