0x2DB3307e08d69bf545E3D8522f45dE9e02Cc9e8E-1761653520784
0x2db3307e08d69bf545e3d8522f45de9e02cc9e8e
- Realised P&L
- $-101.40
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $28.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.997 | $14.46 | +$1.26 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? · No | 0.830 | 0.715 | $14.30 | −$2.30 |
| Spurs vs. Warriors · Warriors | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.20 |
| Hawks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.25 |
| Spurs vs. Heat · Heat | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.25 |
| Knicks vs. Nets · Nets | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.50 |
| Clippers vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.309 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.46 |
| Knicks vs. Hawks · Hawks | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.00 |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets · Warriors | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets · Trail Blazers | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.40 |
| 76ers vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$117.80 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns · Suns | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$192.06at 0.347Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$128.04at 0.567Cavaliers vs. Lakers
- +$110.52at 0.44376ers vs. Heat
- +$93.97at 0.409Cavaliers vs. Magic
- +$79.17at 0.610Suns vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 09:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $13.20 |
| 08-25 09:52 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $10.71 |
| 07-29 07:33 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 06-24 09:49 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $17.95 |
| 05-23 09:19 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.937 | $16.87 |
| 05-14 10:44 | Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | SELL | 0.9485285714 | $132.79 |
| 05-14 10:38 | Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | BUY | 0.9600234286 | $134.40 |
| 04-18 09:38 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.34 | $97.96 |
| 04-06 10:53 | Knicks vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.53 | $154.52 |
| 04-01 10:49 | Spurs vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.12 | $46.60 |
| 03-31 08:27 | Cavaliers vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.56 | $163.56 |
| 03-30 11:20 | 76ers vs. Heat | BUY | 0.44 | $86.70 |
| 03-29 11:51 | Warriors vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.16 | $88.00 |
| 03-28 08:21 | Kings vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.9 | $171.00 |
| 03-24 08:21 | Nuggets vs. Suns | BUY | 0.35 | $78.40 |