Drawax
0x2db284ac041be01b98c903dcb2a77fbd2b3e8073
- Realised P&L
- $-26.76
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $10.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.162 | $3.23 | −$0.25 |
| Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! (RAYE) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.287 | $3.09 | +$2.09 |
| Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.430 | $1.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.105 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.028 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.005 | $0.22 | −$2.78 |
| Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.98 |
| Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.88at 0.080Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 6 straight weeks?
- +$5.41at 0.270Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
- +$4.69at 0.160Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks?
- +$4.10at 0.830Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
- +$2.03at 0.502Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:04 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1089999991 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 20:32 | Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! (RAYE) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.0929999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 20:28 | Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.0322788896 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 20:26 | Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 17:28 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.45 |
| 10-13 17:28 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.0445 | $0.44 |
| 05-16 16:53 | Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 16:53 | Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 03-30 19:52 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.30 |
| 02-17 20:16 | Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 16:04 | Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.0150000002 | $2.00 |
| 02-07 17:12 | Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.0384710145 | $4.00 |
| 02-07 17:12 | Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 01-24 22:24 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.054840234 | $2.44 |
| 01-24 22:24 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |