0x2dae7b296c9ea8a7bc32fac65b8b8ed6952d067a
- Realised P&L
- $39.92
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $98.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $95.07 | −$25.93 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.005 | $3.47 | −$44.53 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.01 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.88at 0.225Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.61at 0.280Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$20.45at 0.298Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$0.83at 0.481Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$-0.42at 0.849Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:21 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0760564415 | $48.00 |
| 07-19 22:23 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999995 | $121.00 |
| 07-19 21:50 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.939 | $55.90 |
| 07-18 22:48 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.036603866 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 22:17 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.081 | $35.65 |
| 07-18 22:06 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.0130000001 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 21:21 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 21:29 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $34.58 |
| 07-15 21:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.419 | $44.01 |
| 07-15 20:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.9025 | $32.23 |
| 07-15 20:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0929999922 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1071841849 | $10.99 |
| 07-15 19:26 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 21:24 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1949999962 | $40.00 |
| 07-14 21:20 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.571 | $67.97 |