PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2dae7b296c9ea8a7bc32fac65b8b8ed6952d067a

Realised P&L
$39.92
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$98.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$95.07$25.93
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0760.005$3.47$44.53
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$5.01
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00$15.00
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$5.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$5.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 21:21Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0760564415$48.00
07-19 22:23New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999995$121.00
07-19 21:50Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.939$55.90
07-18 22:48Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.036603866$5.00
07-18 22:17Will France win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.081$35.65
07-18 22:06Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.0130000001$5.00
07-18 21:21Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.179999987$10.00
07-15 21:29Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$34.58
07-15 21:14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.419$44.01
07-15 20:55Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.9025$32.23
07-15 20:42Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0929999922$10.00
07-15 20:31Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1071841849$10.99
07-15 19:26Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
07-14 21:24Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1949999962$40.00
07-14 21:20Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.571$67.97