AleksandarRS
0x2da565807010e6f976359d7a6dbcccb156dd9c11
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $211.6k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$526.15at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$390.03at 0.575Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$354.12at 0.466Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$203.52at 0.110Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 24?
- +$185.58at 0.519Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 20:22 | Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0078049745 | $3.06 |
| 08-28 10:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $900.00 |
| 08-03 07:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $661.42 |
| 08-02 13:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $708.11 |
| 07-28 07:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 10:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.1k |
| 07-19 08:19 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0309999941 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 08:19 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 08:18 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 08:18 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0409999923 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 08:39 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.358 | $35.80 |
| 07-10 10:30 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.07081528 | $35.41 |
| 07-07 08:10 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.337 | $33.70 |
| 07-04 00:47 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.435 | $87.00 |
| 07-03 23:32 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.453 | $45.30 |