DeftMint
0x2d9e2043175f8e260fbf66cee927ca14ab2ea5d9
- Realised P&L
- $2.71
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $20.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.155 | $12.19 | −$34.99 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.687 | 0.157 | $8.38 | −$28.28 |
| Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.99at 0.860Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$12.82at 0.780Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$11.50at 0.750Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$11.25at 0.360Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$8.86at 0.892Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-13 12:13 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.637 | $12.74 |
| 02-13 12:11 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SELL | 0.735 | $22.05 |
| 02-10 13:57 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.743 | $7.43 |
| 02-05 13:01 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 01-29 08:02 | Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.918724382 | $100.00 |
| 01-29 08:01 | Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3 | $30.90 |
| 01-29 07:38 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28? | BUY | 0.49 | $6.00 |
| 01-29 07:36 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 01-29 07:35 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.069 | $0.35 |
| 01-28 15:17 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 01-23 11:23 | Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1137694126 | $25.75 |
| 01-22 22:17 | Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22? | BUY | 0.9889999448 | $10.00 |
| 01-22 12:54 | Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.58 | $14.32 |
| 01-22 10:34 | Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $14.94 |
| 01-21 21:26 | ETHGAS FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9089999967 | $20.00 |