0x2d989953ebb52b3ce0fa7d39d1c57bc4c3c47f4d
0x2d989953ebb52b3ce0fa7d39d1c57bc4c3c47f4d
- Realised P&L
- $4.25
- Volume
- $116.92
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $1.81
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.485 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.620 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $162.50 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:22 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:51 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:46 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:41 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 1? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:24 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:16 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:16 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:21 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:21 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:10 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:03 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:32 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:51 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |