chooopa
0x2d941c61af17829983038ad2911220e85ba935d7
- Realised P&L
- $-16.30
- Volume
- $614.19
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $23.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.910 | $23.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.05at 0.950Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$1.04at 0.963Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$1.03at 0.954Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.71at 0.970Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.67at 0.969Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 06:16 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? | BUY | 0.9099744515 | $23.00 |
| 07-04 06:35 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9689999992 | $22.90 |
| 05-24 11:37 | Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9511520672 | $21.50 |
| 05-09 09:53 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.9679999993 | $21.00 |
| 05-02 13:01 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9839999996 | $20.00 |
| 04-13 18:15 | Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9499999809 | $19.94 |
| 04-11 09:32 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $27.91 |
| 04-02 07:36 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999994 | $26.87 |
| 03-21 10:44 | Will Hibachi launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $26.68 |
| 03-14 09:59 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.9846251902 | $26.27 |
| 03-11 08:31 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9769999997 | $25.67 |
| 03-07 08:44 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999995 | $25.13 |
| 02-28 07:43 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999997 | $24.82 |
| 02-27 09:25 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999931 | $24.28 |
| 02-26 08:49 | US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999995 | $23.87 |