hulululugu
0x2d929079cea897efc5dd3bb70b3973f80c009cae
- Realised P&L
- $0.88
- Volume
- $13.03
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.900 | 1.000 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.670 | $0.80 | +$0.77 |
| Will UC get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.057 | $0.07 | +$0.04 |
| Will PJD get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.021 | $0.02 | −$0.01 |
| Will MP get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.004 | $0.01 | −$0.03 |
| Will USFP get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.03 |
| Will PPS get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.03 |
| Will PAM get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.45at 0.871WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 22?
- +$0.33at 0.859Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$0.02at 0.981Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$0.01at 0.701Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.997Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 07:20 | Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 06:51 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.89999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 10:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.04 |
| 09-22 09:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:21 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 22? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:21 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 22? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:14 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 22? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:45 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.9969990329 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |