PolyBot

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Traders

0x2d904c4a26dcf776691365a93058f5addee67d46

0x2d904c4a26dcf776691365a93058f5addee67d46

Realised P&L
$-103.44
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
278
Open portfolio
$49.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded278
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? · No0.6401.000$23.43+$8.43
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.5801.000$17.23+$7.23
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany? · Yes0.1101.000$9.09+$8.09
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.3900.001$0.01−$9.99
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) · Portugal0.6600.001$0.01−$9.99
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Germany? · Yes0.0900.001$0.01−$0.99
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany? · Yes0.0900.001$0.01−$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 15:09Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.5799999768$10.00
09-24 15:02Spread: Portugal (-1.5)BUY0.6599999842$10.00
09-24 14:47Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-24 14:47Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Germany?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-24 14:46Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-24 14:46Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.64$15.00
09-24 14:45Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.3899999945$10.00
09-24 09:26Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Uruguay?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-24 09:25Will Japan win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.5899999957$15.00
09-24 09:23Japan vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5BUY0.5$15.00
09-22 15:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-22 11:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-22 11:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.5299999399$3.00
09-22 11:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-22 11:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.5$3.00