0x2d904c4a26dcf776691365a93058f5addee67d46
0x2d904c4a26dcf776691365a93058f5addee67d46
- Realised P&L
- $-103.44
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 278
- Open portfolio
- $49.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded278
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.640 | 1.000 | $23.43 | +$8.43 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.580 | 1.000 | $17.23 | +$7.23 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany? · Yes | 0.110 | 1.000 | $9.09 | +$8.09 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) · Portugal | 0.660 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Germany? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.48at 0.625Will FK Neftchi Fargona win on 2026-09-14?
- +$43.58at 0.635Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
- +$41.19at 0.555Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)
- +$32.08at 0.615Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$30.74at 0.625Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 15:09 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 15:02 | Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 14:47 | Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:47 | Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Germany? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:46 | Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:46 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 09-24 14:45 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 09:26 | Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Uruguay? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:25 | Will Japan win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $15.00 |
| 09-24 09:23 | Japan vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 09-22 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 11:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |