PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bestsmart

0x2d8cdf8bb49f5b425ccedb91604eb453c2353e30

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$38.0k
Markets traded
430
Open portfolio
$18.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded430
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 1? · Yes0.6000.440$18.48−$6.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 16:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 29?BUY0.5664388361$25.20
09-28 22:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 29?BUY0.4399999947$29.89
09-27 22:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 28?BUY0.5$25.30
09-27 17:40Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 27?BUY0.595813953$25.20
09-27 16:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 27?BUY0.5799999954$25.01
09-24 23:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 25?BUY0.5619735737$24.94
09-24 17:40Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24?BUY0.5490157045$24.82
09-23 23:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 24?BUY0.5642641693$23.20
09-21 17:40Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 21?BUY0.4988870432$18.02
09-21 07:16Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?SELL0.003$0.85
09-21 03:10Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.5819871795$7.26
09-20 23:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 21?BUY0.5926993292$25.42
09-20 21:00Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 20?BUY0.6178019587$11.36
09-19 04:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.6348212609$25.35
09-19 02:39Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.0703966302$20.00