bestsmart
0x2d8cdf8bb49f5b425ccedb91604eb453c2353e30
- Realised P&L
- $24.88
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $105.58
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.715 | $35.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.635 | $20.30 | +$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.335 | $16.75 | −$15.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.300 | $15.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.905 | $6.24 | +$2.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.640 | $5.12 | +$1.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$35.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.91at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?
- +$20.80at 0.574Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 7?
- +$12.99at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8?
- +$11.76at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 7?
- +$11.02at 0.721Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 08-08 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.98 | $0.97 |
| 08-08 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.92 |
| 08-08 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 08-08 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.65 | $9.75 |
| 08-07 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 08-07 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.71 | $19.88 |
| 08-07 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.36 |
| 08-07 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.35 |
| 08-07 09:45 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6 | $9.04 |
| 08-07 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.63 | $9.45 |
| 08-07 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.7255555556 | $13.06 |
| 08-07 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.7144444444 | $12.86 |
| 08-07 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.57 | $17.10 |