0x2d899cf576f5b1b50c790b5ae4702444d212ac9e
0x2d899cf576f5b1b50c790b5ae4702444d212ac9e
- Realised P&L
- $-153.15
- Volume
- $369.6k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $264.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.55at 0.328Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$0.51at 0.502Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$0.45at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$0.36at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$0.25at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:39 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 17:54 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $14.00 |
| 10-31 17:53 | Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 17:52 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 17:51 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $34.00 |
| 10-31 17:51 | Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $32.00 |
| 10-31 17:49 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $80.00 |
| 10-21 21:11 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 20:28 | Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-18 17:50 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 18:08 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.11 |
| 10-16 17:33 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.11 |
| 10-14 17:03 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.11 |
| 10-13 17:03 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.11 |
| 10-11 17:09 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |