0x2d899cf576f5b1b50c790b5ae4702444d212ac9e
- Realised P&L
- $-134.70
- Volume
- $150.1k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $14.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.68at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$0.60at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$0.56at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$0.45at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$0.33at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 18:38 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 18:35 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 18:35 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 18:34 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:34 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:31 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:30 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:28 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:21 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:04 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 07-31 18:04 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.70 |
| 07-31 17:56 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 17:56 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 17:54 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 17:30 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |