zslon
0x2d7d1c0b2a52efeaa9417ec741927ec2fafa8a52
- Realised P&L
- $157.67
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $79.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.399 | 0.470 | $51.90 | +$7.85 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.560 | $28.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.06at 0.642Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?
- +$106.62at 0.490Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?
- +$95.92at 0.740Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$72.62at 0.842Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$66.00at 0.310Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 03:09 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.30 |
| 10-26 03:08 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 10-26 03:08 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4599999929 | $13.00 |
| 10-16 20:43 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $30.64 |
| 09-25 20:07 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.87 |
| 09-14 21:01 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.40 |
| 09-14 20:45 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999994 | $58.00 |
| 12-20 10:18 | Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $6.69 |
| 12-20 10:12 | Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $51.60 |
| 12-20 09:52 | Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15? | SELL | 0.83 | $138.33 |
| 12-19 05:43 | Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $9.94 |
| 12-19 05:43 | Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15? | BUY | 0.7 | $5.19 |
| 12-18 15:46 | Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $9.80 |
| 12-18 15:42 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31? | BUY | 0.1509433962 | $1.00 |
| 12-15 15:42 | Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $12.78 |