PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CapyOnChain

0x2d7823cd013afabd6fa239e335746ce7e6a3f923

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$51.9k
Markets traded
1,094
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,094
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2060.210$182.38+$3.49
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1950.160$134.72$29.08
Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2540.245$132.47$4.79
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.2420.220$126.81$12.48
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3150.295$98.74$6.67
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.3080.420$95.20+$25.35
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.4140.365$91.48$12.20
Will Valantis launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5380.465$78.83$12.44
Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1900.450$51.97+$30.04
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2650.235$31.31$4.02
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5870.580$24.35$0.28
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2490.275$20.28+$1.88
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2700.335$20.27+$3.93
Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1900.235$18.95+$3.63
Valantis FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.310$15.50+$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:00Will Chaos Labs launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.22$40.38
09-16 12:56Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.31$32.18
09-16 12:55Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?BUY0.16$5.00
09-16 12:55Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?BUY0.16$1.00
09-14 00:59Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.24$7.20
09-14 00:58Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.37$40.40
09-14 00:58Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.38$11.40
09-14 00:57Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.39$58.54
09-13 05:14Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.5$0.50
09-13 05:13Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.4$2.00
09-13 05:11Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-13 05:11Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?BUY0.16$33.37
09-13 05:07Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.3060904087$67.85
09-10 15:14Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.28975$57.95
09-10 15:13Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.11$0.55