PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nijack

0x2d71bfc4d1f0356505bf7db9ad3eb5cdf9067387

Realised P&L
$332.76
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$25.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on September 25? · No0.9690.984$25.08+$0.38
Will Paprika Recipe Manager 3 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.89
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on December 16? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$6.62
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.1550.000$0.00$15.50
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 17? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$12.38
Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 5? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$10.88
Will Bernie Sanders attend Zohran Mamdani's swearing-in ceremony? · No0.0310.000$0.00$5.20
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $192 end of January? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.61
Washington Huskies vs. UCLA Bruins (W) · Washington Huskies0.0470.000$0.00$10.04
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$4.63
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$6.56
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (W) · Northern Illinois Huskies0.0460.000$0.00$7.42
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be greater than 15,250,000? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$8.98
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 45%? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$26.52
Will Spain win Junior Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$8.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-23 22:54Will Meta (META) close at <$560 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?BUY0.1$30.66
03-23 15:14Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 23 above $420?BUY0.089$14.71
03-06 03:17Samsunspor vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5BUY0.17$85.31
03-02 03:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8?BUY0.032$6.56
02-27 08:11Spread: Toronto FC (-2.5)BUY0.028$6.74
02-19 09:30Washington Huskies vs. UCLA Bruins (W)BUY0.047$10.04
02-17 21:11Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $350?BUY0.037$7.38
02-17 16:40Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 19?BUY0.035$4.73
02-16 23:23Will there be less than 200k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 14, 2026?BUY0.033$4.59
02-15 19:37Will "How to Get to Heaven from Belfast" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.027$2.79
02-14 09:14Will Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw?BUY0.052$6.00
02-10 14:31Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?BUY0.032$4.63
02-06 03:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 11?BUY0.987$147.04
01-27 17:46Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $192 end of January?BUY0.013$1.61
01-27 17:34Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $8.00 end of January?BUY0.027$2.84