nijack
0x2d71bfc4d1f0356505bf7db9ad3eb5cdf9067387
- Realised P&L
- $332.76
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $25.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$275.89at 0.100Will Meta (META) close at <$560 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
- +$83.64at 0.642Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$79.85at 0.890Will Google (GOOGL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?
- +$67.27at 0.830Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?
- +$58.82at 0.830Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 22:54 | Will Meta (META) close at <$560 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.66 |
| 03-23 15:14 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 23 above $420? | BUY | 0.089 | $14.71 |
| 03-06 03:17 | Samsunspor vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.17 | $85.31 |
| 03-02 03:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.032 | $6.56 |
| 02-27 08:11 | Spread: Toronto FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.028 | $6.74 |
| 02-19 09:30 | Washington Huskies vs. UCLA Bruins (W) | BUY | 0.047 | $10.04 |
| 02-17 21:11 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $350? | BUY | 0.037 | $7.38 |
| 02-17 16:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 19? | BUY | 0.035 | $4.73 |
| 02-16 23:23 | Will there be less than 200k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $4.59 |
| 02-15 19:37 | Will "How to Get to Heaven from Belfast" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.79 |
| 02-14 09:14 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.052 | $6.00 |
| 02-10 14:31 | Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13? | BUY | 0.032 | $4.63 |
| 02-06 03:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 11? | BUY | 0.987 | $147.04 |
| 01-27 17:46 | Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $192 end of January? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.61 |
| 01-27 17:34 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $8.00 end of January? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.84 |