gatekeeperofgozer
0x2d6fe6cc6047c9974e2f7b216fea78b2d3ab7311
- Realised P&L
- $960.30
- Volume
- $32.6k
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $75.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on November 1? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.751 | $75.85 | −$24.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$214.00at 0.489Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 5?
- +$115.65at 0.721Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 24?
- +$54.16at 0.571Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 28?
- +$43.13at 0.823Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9?
- +$35.25at 0.850Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9853341807 | $186.05 |
| 11-01 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 11-01 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9865816046 | $42.57 |
| 11-01 08:55 | Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 11-01 00:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 11-01 00:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 10-31 17:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 9°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9833333333 | $29.50 |
| 10-31 16:54 | Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 10-31 11:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $87.12 |
| 10-31 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.9423963636 | $77.75 |
| 10-30 17:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 10-30 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.9821323324 | $99.99 |
| 10-30 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $110.72 |
| 10-30 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.8237946465 | $24.36 |
| 10-30 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.9021317214 | $99.99 |