0x2d6A5Cd5c77eaaDc40759EDb030843bD44ec5732-1771492778654
0x2d6a5cd5c77eaadc40759edb030843bd44ec5732
- Realised P&L
- $838.07
- Volume
- $81.7k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$657.99at 0.197Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
- +$649.28at 0.136Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$473.81at 0.052Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
- +$405.20at 0.337LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
- +$214.78at 0.189LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 10:02 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $44.00 |
| 10-23 07:07 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.76 | $95.46 |
| 10-15 10:35 | LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2994011976 | $25.00 |
| 10-12 14:13 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.7099999988 | $150.00 |
| 10-04 11:49 | LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3762376233 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 11:43 | LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.55 | $4.98 |
| 09-29 08:13 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.77 | $557.97 |
| 09-29 08:05 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.5475 | $54.75 |
| 09-25 14:06 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.265159461 | $250.00 |
| 09-25 14:03 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $500.00 |
| 09-25 14:00 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.35 | $262.50 |
| 09-13 08:42 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 06:57 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.0713103575 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 06:39 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 07:53 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1459999999 | $40.00 |