PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2d6A5Cd5c77eaaDc40759EDb030843bD44ec5732-1771492778654

0x2d6a5cd5c77eaadc40759edb030843bd44ec5732

Realised P&L
$838.07
Volume
$81.7k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0040.076$836.00+$792.00
Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · No0.2650.635$455.44+$265.26
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1100.050$45.45−$54.54
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00−$40.00
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner · BNK FEARX0.1900.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00−$50.00
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner · BNK FEARX0.2850.000$0.00−$67.00
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner · Dplus KIA0.3600.000$0.00−$20.00
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports0.1200.000$0.00−$30.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00−$50.00
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports0.1860.000$0.00−$130.00
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner · BNK FEARX0.2000.000$0.00−$29.92
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner · HANJIN BRION0.4640.000$0.00−$119.00
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group · HANJIN BRION0.0400.000$0.00−$20.00
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner · BNK FEARX0.2500.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 10:02Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.004$44.00
10-23 07:07Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?SELL0.76$95.46
10-15 10:35LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2994011976$25.00
10-12 14:13LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.7099999988$150.00
10-04 11:49LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.3762376233$50.00
10-04 11:43LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.55$4.98
09-29 08:13Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.77$557.97
09-29 08:05Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?SELL0.5475$54.75
09-25 14:06Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?BUY0.265159461$250.00
09-25 14:03Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.6899999997$500.00
09-25 14:00Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.35$262.50
09-13 08:42LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.12$30.00
09-13 06:57LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.0713103575$30.00
09-13 06:39LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3599999997$100.00
09-09 07:53Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1459999999$40.00