luckyyj
0x2d6657cbedcb59fcb44b61bc7839d2760e75ef72
- Realised P&L
- $28.79
- Volume
- $68.8k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $94.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.325 | $29.25 | +$5.25 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.590 | $17.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.570 | $17.09 | +$0.60 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.510 | $15.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? · No | 0.980 | 0.980 | $14.69 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.65 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.40at 0.005Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$10.83at 0.480Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$7.86at 0.560Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
- +$7.81at 0.661Ethereum all time high by December 31?
- +$4.65at 0.005Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 11-01 15:32 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $16.49 |
| 11-01 15:31 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 15:31 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 06-06 19:03 | Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $31.90 |
| 06-06 19:03 | Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $65.74 |
| 06-06 19:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 06-06 19:01 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $12.73 |
| 05-18 18:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $62.87 |
| 05-18 18:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $65.87 |
| 05-18 18:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.94 |
| 05-18 18:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 18:22 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 04-29 12:46 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 04-29 12:46 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |