0x2D5f6e7926e0C898819adC071D556Ca7EDd19C36-1775368955685
0x2d5f6e7926e0c898819adc071d556ca7edd19c36
- Realised P&L
- $148.26
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.50at 0.957Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
- +$15.45at 0.923Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?
- +$7.70at 0.923Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.12at 0.965Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$7.10at 0.972Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 15:37 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.923 | $92.30 |
| 08-01 12:03 | Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 07-26 16:40 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0744 | $3.72 |
| 06-30 07:12 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.473 | $47.30 |
| 06-24 11:32 | Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 06-20 08:43 | Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.97208 | $97.21 |
| 06-19 17:06 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.953 | $19.06 |
| 06-14 08:08 | Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 06-13 03:53 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 06-12 17:45 | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.993 | $71.50 |
| 06-10 16:03 | Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.72 |
| 05-24 03:47 | Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.979 | $9.79 |
| 04-22 16:03 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.111 | $1.11 |
| 04-11 00:58 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.941 | $4.71 |
| 04-06 16:42 | Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.9819999986 | $10.00 |