PolyBot

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Traders

0x2D5f6e7926e0C898819adC071D556Ca7EDd19C36-1775368955685

0x2d5f6e7926e0c898819adc071d556ca7edd19c36

Realised P&L
$148.26
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · No0.9170.920$275.99+$1.00
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9410.980$274.25+$10.83
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9610.981$245.24+$5.00
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8940.954$238.38+$14.88
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9090.972$233.16+$14.96
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9400.989$197.70+$9.70
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.984$196.70+$14.70
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · No0.9240.966$193.09+$8.30
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9370.975$165.54+$6.30
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · No0.9620.983$98.25+$2.05
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.9100.979$97.90+$6.90
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-18 House seat? · Yes0.9370.985$49.23+$2.38
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.8630.884$44.23+$1.07
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0620.021$2.05−$4.15
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? · No0.9360.967$1.42+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 15:37Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.923$92.30
08-01 12:03Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?BUY0.89$17.80
07-26 16:40Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0744$3.72
06-30 07:12Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.473$47.30
06-24 11:32Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.9$90.00
06-20 08:43Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.97208$97.21
06-19 17:06Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.953$19.06
06-14 08:08Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.99$99.00
06-13 03:53Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.98$98.00
06-12 17:45Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?BUY0.993$71.50
06-10 16:03Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.036$0.72
05-24 03:47Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY0.979$9.79
04-22 16:03Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.111$1.11
04-11 00:58Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.941$4.71
04-06 16:42Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?BUY0.9819999986$10.00