0x2d557c41afb60f3fda40aab7d1d3e6127197110f
0x2d557c41afb60f3fda40aab7d1d3e6127197110f
- Realised P&L
- $-10.35
- Volume
- $176.12
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $5.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.800 | $1.90 | +$0.90 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.750 | 0.810 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.795 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.770 | 0.615 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.760 | 0.585 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.190 | $0.24 | −$0.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.87at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.19at 0.359WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$2.98at 0.440Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$2.64at 0.470Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.24at 0.510Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 10 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:40 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:39 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:00 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:42 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:44 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:09 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:00 | Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:58 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999835 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 07:49 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999001 | $2.29 |
| 09-22 23:34 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999734 | $2.29 |
| 09-22 14:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.5299999653 | $2.29 |
| 09-22 06:43 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999126 | $2.29 |