PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StrangeFriends

0x2d4c7dc8ca5507e3f912529e010778d9e2aab848

Realised P&L
$-31.95
Volume
$38.6k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$6.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$6.33$6.32
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$13.22
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$3.00
Will a candidate from another party win US Michigan Senate Election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$8.50
Will another movie gross most in 2024? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$3.00
Will Solana reach $150 in June? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$8.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 20:21Will Solana reach $150 in June?BUY0.002$3.35
06-22 20:21Will Solana reach $150 in June?BUY0.002$4.92
06-22 20:21Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$12.66
01-21 21:32Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?BUY0.7399999906$11.00
10-21 08:42Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?BUY0.2799999515$3.00
10-21 08:42Will 'Smile 2' gross $21-24m opening weekend?BUY0.9849999975$4.00
10-21 08:41Will another movie gross most in 2024?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
10-21 08:41Will a candidate from another party win US Michigan Senate Election?BUY0.002$11.11
10-21 08:40Senate control after 2024 election?BUY0.8199999836$4.00
10-21 08:40Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?BUY0.001$13.22