PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

53535fghf

0x2d42dfc27253f55667b8ef460f41ecb361aaf9dd

Realised P&L
$4.2k
Volume
$129.0k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$33.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0150.008$33.71$29.50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22? · Down0.3700.000$0.00$740.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 03:19Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.957$629.71
07-02 02:02Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.959$631.02
06-15 01:50Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?BUY0.962$512.75
05-25 03:33Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$124.00
05-15 08:41Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.7150099439$382.53
05-14 11:30Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.705$377.17
05-01 01:16Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.885$311.51
04-25 06:33Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.8819999998$310.46
04-13 01:52Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.615$12.30
04-13 01:52Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.615$7.38
04-13 01:52Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6149999892$11.68
04-13 01:52Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6149999842$7.99
04-13 01:52Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6149999863$9.22
04-13 01:51Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6149999879$10.45
04-13 01:51Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.615$12.30