kingsirpredictionconnoisseur
0x2d40ca3ab44c1cf56677c85919a815bbf59cec52
- Realised P&L
- $11.4k
- Volume
- $2.40M
- Markets traded
- 991
- Open portfolio
- $975.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded991
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.8kat 0.707Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$6.7kat 0.502Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
- +$4.5kat 0.669Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$3.7kat 0.754Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs
- +$3.6kat 0.573Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:01 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Color (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.69 | $345.00 |
| 09-27 08:49 | Counter-Strike: M80 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs | BUY | 0.51 | $255.00 |
| 09-27 08:48 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.55 | $274.99 |
| 09-27 08:48 | Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.53 | $265.00 |
| 09-26 16:37 | Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 09-26 09:47 | Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6258065 | $125.16 |
| 09-26 09:44 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.34 | $68.00 |
| 09-26 06:23 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 09-26 06:22 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-25 18:32 | Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.54 | $324.00 |
| 09-25 08:03 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $375.00 |
| 09-24 11:51 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.51 | $254.41 |
| 09-24 11:48 | Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.73 | $73.44 |
| 09-24 05:51 | Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $61.13 |
| 09-22 16:30 | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.57 | $570.00 |