PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sunbge

0x2d3f39cbcaf3bf839372150658103c14ea068469

Realised P&L
$-505.84
Volume
$11.8k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$121.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 12? · Yes0.9211.000$33.72+$2.66
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 29? · No0.9811.000$30.14+$0.57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 16? · Yes0.9941.000$29.23+$0.18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 25? · No0.9650.990$28.90+$0.72
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on March 9? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$5.20
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 18? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$3.40
Will Everett Blunck win Best Young Actor / Actress at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$6.24
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.0930.000$0.00−$10.48
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-12? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$224.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 13? · No0.0440.000$0.00−$5.98
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 9? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$2.66
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025) · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$6.36
Will Josie Hofmann (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$5.97
Will Leewon Lim (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$5.53
Will Bolivia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 11:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?BUY0.9849999997$17.07
06-02 10:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?BUY0.9834387063$17.07
06-02 07:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?BUY0.994$17.07
06-02 06:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?BUY0.996$17.07
03-24 21:54Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5BUY0.26$134.98
03-19 11:24Exact Score: FC Nantes 2 - 2 RC Strasbourg Alsace?BUY0.06$6.40
03-09 10:09Clermont Foot 63 vs. Pau FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.2$56.20
03-03 07:24Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on March 9?BUY0.027$5.20
03-02 11:06Will Andrew Tate post 310-339 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.011$2.06
02-28 20:01Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?BUY0.068$11.59
02-21 16:35Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on February 22?BUY0.015$1.84
02-20 03:27Will Campbell Wright (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY0.019$2.71
02-19 22:28Will Leewon Lim (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY0.023$5.53
02-19 15:51Will Josie Hofmann (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY0.025$5.97
02-18 11:30Will Bolivia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.017$2.21