YuXuan
0x2d39c556d151a8f7efcbf542d2d363b673e7fa04
- Realised P&L
- $-7.0k
- Volume
- $429.5k
- Markets traded
- 433
- Open portfolio
- $0.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded433
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.383Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.8kat 0.296Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$1.7kat 0.502US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.814Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$818.36at 0.500Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 06:00 | Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.9196654741 | $107.96 |
| 10-03 08:45 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0171277303 | $14.90 |
| 09-17 09:17 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.9599622021 | $992.52 |
| 09-17 09:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.59 | $234.28 |
| 09-16 05:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 04:48 | Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 04:47 | Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 04:46 | Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.2299999958 | $12.00 |
| 09-10 04:46 | Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.2299999975 | $15.00 |
| 09-10 04:46 | Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.15 | $12.00 |
| 09-10 04:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999996 | $300.00 |
| 09-10 04:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.45 | $335.09 |
| 09-10 04:30 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.929 | $106.71 |
| 09-08 01:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5199999987 | $129.03 |
| 09-08 01:44 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.926 | $131.47 |