PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

YuXuan

0x2d39c556d151a8f7efcbf542d2d363b673e7fa04

Realised P&L
$-7.0k
Volume
$429.5k
Markets traded
433
Open portfolio
$0.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded433
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.1500.011$0.88−$11.12
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00−$18.00
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.83
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) · Thunder0.3400.000$0.00−$20.00
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$7.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.4950.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$161.30
Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$7.00
Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$50.00
Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs0.3300.000$0.00−$33.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 06:00Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.9196654741$107.96
10-03 08:45Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.0171277303$14.90
09-17 09:17Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.9599622021$992.52
09-17 09:172026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.59$234.28
09-16 05:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999998$20.00
09-10 04:48Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.5599999955$50.00
09-10 04:47Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-10 04:46Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.2299999958$12.00
09-10 04:46Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.2299999975$15.00
09-10 04:46Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.15$12.00
09-10 04:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5399999996$300.00
09-10 04:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.45$335.09
09-10 04:30Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.929$106.71
09-08 01:442026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5199999987$129.03
09-08 01:44Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.926$131.47