dragon007-620
0x2d31fb02e20de3f069640ede90a4fa35db88f902
- Realised P&L
- $161.72
- Volume
- $67.8k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $16.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Alexander Volkov | 0.530 | 0.535 | $6.06 | +$0.06 |
| UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) · Grant Dawson | 0.530 | 0.525 | $5.94 | −$0.06 |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) · Movsar Evloev | 0.510 | 0.505 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.19at 0.130Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$40.77at 0.001Will Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
- +$24.21at 0.633OpenSea token announcement in 2024?
- +$22.35at 0.001Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$11.22at 0.001Will Donald Trump be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 20:28 | UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $6.00 |
| 10-19 20:28 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $6.00 |
| 10-19 20:28 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 20:28 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 08:33 | Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 08:33 | KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins | BUY | 0.5199999827 | $6.00 |
| 07-05 08:33 | KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 08:33 | KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 19:33 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 05-12 07:49 | Tunis: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Harold Mayot | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 05-12 07:48 | KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 05-12 07:48 | Shanghai Sharks vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 05-12 07:48 | Paris: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Diane Parry | BUY | 0.55 | $6.05 |
| 04-19 15:40 | Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-19? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.94 |
| 04-19 15:39 | Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-04-20? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.46 |