Jaiden90
0x2d2a8cd6d6667c518607b956d5ee2e9bd73b4818
- Realised P&L
- $-0.51
- Volume
- $27.72
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $11.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $2.68 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.963 | $2.43 | −$0.01 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? · No | 0.967 | 0.988 | $1.91 | +$0.04 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.981 | 0.988 | $1.85 | +$0.01 |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.629 | $1.51 | −$0.81 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No | 0.948 | 0.938 | $1.44 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.14at 0.929Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.03at 0.981Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.03at 0.989Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.03at 0.988Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$0.03at 0.990Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:55 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.9479999688 | $1.46 |
| 09-16 21:53 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.69 |
| 09-16 21:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9809999941 | $1.84 |
| 09-16 21:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.966999985 | $1.87 |
| 09-08 21:15 | Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9889999969 | $2.90 |
| 09-08 21:14 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.73 |
| 09-08 21:13 | Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9269999854 | $1.78 |
| 09-04 03:36 | Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.68 |
| 09-04 03:35 | Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.9689999929 | $2.32 |
| 09-04 03:34 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9679999968 | $2.44 |
| 08-30 12:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9869996824 | $2.53 |
| 08-30 12:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9889999613 | $2.86 |