PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x2D29Da4E225dC0eA82A7083f7cbE5FE6c84571E0-1775145499679

0x2d29da4e225dc0ea82a7083f7cbe5fe6c84571e0

Realised P&L
$-256.84
Volume
$108.6k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$33.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0100.002$33.78$200.94
Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$13.88
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00$10.00
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 13:12Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0266811203$198.08
04-21 13:12Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.074$17.01
04-21 13:12Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.021$10.50
04-21 13:12Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.25$19.23
04-06 20:36Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$14.74
04-06 20:36Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?SELL0.0132693163$14.74
04-06 14:46Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0314170521$46.17
04-05 21:45Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0303376718$91.59
04-05 21:44Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.041$20.00
04-05 21:43Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.38$71.60
04-05 21:41Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.028575393$83.88
04-05 21:40US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.025$37.50
04-05 21:40Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.005$46.38
04-05 21:33Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0080681345$50.01
04-05 21:33Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.005$50.00