0x2D29Da4E225dC0eA82A7083f7cbE5FE6c84571E0-1775145499679
0x2d29da4e225dc0ea82a7083f7cbe5fe6c84571e0
- Realised P&L
- $-256.84
- Volume
- $108.6k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $33.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $33.78 | −$200.94 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.88 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.15at 0.013Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$20.00at 0.003Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$7.50at 0.020US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$6.38at 0.004Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$0.50at 0.020Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 13:12 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0266811203 | $198.08 |
| 04-21 13:12 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.074 | $17.01 |
| 04-21 13:12 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.021 | $10.50 |
| 04-21 13:12 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $19.23 |
| 04-06 20:36 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $14.74 |
| 04-06 20:36 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | SELL | 0.0132693163 | $14.74 |
| 04-06 14:46 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0314170521 | $46.17 |
| 04-05 21:45 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0303376718 | $91.59 |
| 04-05 21:44 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.041 | $20.00 |
| 04-05 21:43 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.38 | $71.60 |
| 04-05 21:41 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.028575393 | $83.88 |
| 04-05 21:40 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.025 | $37.50 |
| 04-05 21:40 | Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $46.38 |
| 04-05 21:33 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0080681345 | $50.01 |
| 04-05 21:33 | Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $50.00 |