RealOG47
0x2d24a99bbe90b10300c70980de7ff01c3b550017
- Realised P&L
- $-40.38
- Volume
- $731.76
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $16.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.65at 0.435Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$5.55at 0.445Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
- +$5.53at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$4.55at 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
- +$3.33at 0.607Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:30 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.25 |
| 09-21 03:53 | Will Trump say "Alaska" this week? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-20 15:37 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.70 |
| 09-20 15:32 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.919999907 | $4.75 |
| 09-18 18:58 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5799999551 | $3.10 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-31 01:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.40 |
| 08-31 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4599998694 | $1.55 |
| 08-31 01:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999811 | $4.76 |
| 08-31 01:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999714 | $3.97 |
| 08-31 01:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.56 |
| 08-31 01:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999688 | $6.19 |
| 08-31 00:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $6.05 |
| 08-31 00:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999888 | $5.93 |
| 08-31 00:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999538 | $1.87 |