PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

RealOG47

0x2d24a99bbe90b10300c70980de7ff01c3b550017

Realised P&L
$-40.38
Volume
$731.76
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$16.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.620$3.15$0.10
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes0.5800.545$2.91$0.19
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.4300.435$2.17+$0.03
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.3600.410$2.05+$0.25
Will "Peace" be in the headlines this week? · Yes0.3300.320$1.60$0.05
Will Trump say "Tiger" this week? · Yes0.3800.305$1.52$0.38
Will Trump say "Eisenhower" this week? · Yes0.2400.255$1.27+$0.07
Will "Ballroom" be in the headlines this week? · Yes0.2800.255$1.27$0.13
Will Trump say "Heaven" this week? · Yes0.3900.255$0.46$0.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Up0.9000.000$0.00$6.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00$1.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Down0.4850.000$0.00$4.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Down0.7400.000$0.00$6.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00$2.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 16:30Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.64$3.25
09-21 03:53Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?SELL0.44$2.20
09-20 15:37Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.91$4.70
09-20 15:32Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.919999907$4.75
09-18 18:58Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.5799999551$3.10
09-18 15:58Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.36$1.80
08-31 01:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETBUY0.53$2.40
08-31 01:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETBUY0.4599998694$1.55
08-31 01:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.4499999811$4.76
08-31 01:25Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.6299999714$3.97
08-31 01:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETBUY0.64$5.56
08-31 01:10Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETBUY0.6899999688$6.19
08-31 00:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.8$6.05
08-31 00:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.8299999888$5.93
08-31 00:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.7199999538$1.87