Ninja0232io
0x2d2398ae4365c54e5a4cd68abdff4e2549618fed
- Realised P&L
- $-155.45
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 518
- Open portfolio
- $2.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded518
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.08at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?
- +$14.13at 0.131Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$12.77at 0.054Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 19?
- +$10.18at 0.106Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 8?
- +$8.94at 0.106Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.1734646054 | $1.62 |
| 11-01 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.146 | $0.83 |
| 11-01 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.1761193751 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0927348031 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0133750853 | $1.48 |
| 11-01 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.57 |
| 10-31 16:38 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.74 |
| 10-31 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0689999982 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $2.52 |
| 10-30 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 04:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $5.31 |