shxtest1
0x2d1ffae8d41b181d1b1734016e07bd1a903a5246
- Realised P&L
- $-88.9k
- Volume
- $3.83M
- Markets traded
- 1,725
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,725
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.720 | 0.865 | $2.6k | +$435.00 |
| Exact Score: Cuiabá EC 2 - 1 São Bernardo FC? · No | 0.900 | 0.655 | $2.0k | −$735.00 |
| Exact Score: Grêmio FBPA 1 - 1 CA Mineiro? · No | 0.850 | 0.920 | $1.5k | +$116.21 |
| Exact Score: Club Guabirá 0 - 3 Club Bolívar? · No | 0.948 | 0.928 | $927.29 | −$19.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.0kat 0.220Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25?
- +$13.4kat 0.247Will Iceland win on 2026-09-26?
- +$11.4kat 0.360Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-09-26?
- +$8.8kat 0.507Raptors vs. Timberwolves
- +$8.2kat 0.430Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:31 | Exact Score: Dinamo 1948 2 - 1 FC UTA Arad? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.40 |
| 11-01 20:06 | Exact Score: Cusco FC 1 - 0 Sport Boys Association? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.40 |
| 11-01 18:46 | Exact Score: Palermo FC 1 - 0 L.R. Vicenza? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.96 |
| 11-01 14:55 | Exact Score: SS Lazio 3 - 0 Cagliari Calcio? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 02:04 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.87 | $18.78 |
| 11-01 02:04 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.8790240059 | $814.36 |
| 11-01 02:03 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.91 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 02:02 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.86 | $223.92 |
| 11-01 02:02 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.8691872117 | $983.62 |
| 11-01 01:53 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.9 | $2.1k |
| 10-31 21:31 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.83 | $770.00 |
| 10-31 21:31 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.77 | $1.3k |
| 10-31 20:52 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.77 | $287.28 |
| 10-31 20:52 | Kings vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.76 | $612.91 |
| 10-31 20:52 | Kings vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.76 | $928.72 |