vhhju8
0x2d1b79ca9f6c30bed8646c4c418211401fadf5b3
- Realised P&L
- $266.55
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $40.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.958 | 0.989 | $34.60 | +$1.07 |
| Beezie FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.860 | $6.36 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$266.48at 0.570Hawks vs. Jazz
- +$0.70at 0.983Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
- +$0.53at 0.990Will Solana dip to $80 in July?
- +$0.34at 0.984Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.31at 0.994Swell airdrop in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 06:44 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $5.41 |
| 11-14 11:36 | Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $39.68 |
| 11-13 08:10 | Hawks vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.57 | $353.25 |
| 09-30 03:11 | Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $53.22 |
| 05-20 11:00 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.854 | $17.25 |
| 03-30 06:51 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.992 | $35.16 |
| 03-30 06:50 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |
| 03-30 06:48 | Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.88 |
| 02-17 10:13 | Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.984 | $20.69 |
| 02-17 10:13 | Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $22.88 |
| 02-17 10:12 | Will Solana hit $350 by February 28 2025? | BUY | 0.994 | $6.55 |
| 02-17 09:50 | Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.998 | $50.12 |
| 01-20 06:28 | Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.996 | $50.02 |
| 01-20 06:28 | Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.40 |
| 12-28 14:30 | Pump.fun airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.18 |