PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

domk

0x2d190547e7acb8d572a08eb3970a860e386c52c6

Realised P&L
$98.38
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$229.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5530.560$113.08+$1.31
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4480.235$57.04−$51.65
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes0.7600.760$38.00+$0.00
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30, 2027? · No0.8700.870$9.42+$0.00
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4030.075$6.53−$28.59
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.195$2.88+$0.07
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4490.110$2.25−$6.91
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? · Yes0.9500.000$0.00−$3.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 18:24Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?BUY0.95$3.18
10-16 16:36Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0489999982$1.00
10-16 16:35Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?BUY0.043$3.87
10-15 22:16Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?BUY0.9789999996$47.00
10-15 17:40Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$9.20
10-13 06:52Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$36.40
10-12 21:55Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$139.83
10-12 21:50Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$22.25
10-12 21:28Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5099999776$2.50
10-12 21:28Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?BUY0.53$5.30
10-12 21:27Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?BUY0.52$10.40
10-12 21:19Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$4.50
10-12 21:17Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$4.50
10-12 21:03Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?BUY0.5$4.04
10-12 21:02Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6068912631$35.22