domk
0x2d190547e7acb8d572a08eb3970a860e386c52c6
- Realised P&L
- $98.38
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $229.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.560 | $113.08 | +$1.31 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.448 | 0.235 | $57.04 | −$51.65 |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.760 | $38.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.870 | $9.42 | +$0.00 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.075 | $6.53 | −$28.59 |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.195 | $2.88 | +$0.07 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.449 | 0.110 | $2.25 | −$6.91 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.72at 0.510Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
- +$100.32at 0.990Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$56.18at 0.622Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
- +$35.88at 0.420Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$29.13at 0.500Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:24 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.18 |
| 10-16 16:36 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0489999982 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 16:35 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $3.87 |
| 10-15 22:16 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $47.00 |
| 10-15 17:40 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 10-13 06:52 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $36.40 |
| 10-12 21:55 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $139.83 |
| 10-12 21:50 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $22.25 |
| 10-12 21:28 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $2.50 |
| 10-12 21:28 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 10-12 21:27 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 10-12 21:19 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 10-12 21:17 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 10-12 21:03 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.04 |
| 10-12 21:02 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6068912631 | $35.22 |