0x2d14fae7C99e2BAd6f8b5Cc3E9375B4EBca53287-1783633249016
0x2d14fae7c99e2bad6f8b5cc3e9375b4ebca53287
- Realised P&L
- $-204.45
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $389.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.696 | 0.715 | $380.02 | +$10.16 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Spain | 0.605 | 1.000 | $9.92 | +$3.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.58at 0.639Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?
- +$-12.05at 0.407Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$-196.78at 0.683Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.699696895 | $300.00 |
| 11-01 18:18 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $69.86 |
| 10-18 17:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.6504025015 | $154.96 |
| 10-12 03:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6295450477 | $150.00 |
| 08-23 10:16 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.69 | $78.67 |
| 08-23 10:16 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.66 | $75.25 |
| 08-23 09:53 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.42 | $95.77 |
| 08-23 09:32 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.45 | $205.22 |
| 08-23 08:24 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.6571959638 | $300.00 |
| 08-23 08:22 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.667387154 | $278.26 |
| 08-23 08:21 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.64 | $300.00 |
| 08-23 08:20 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.7370517928 | $200.00 |
| 08-23 08:15 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.7550919019 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:02 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.355 | $48.98 |
| 07-19 19:53 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.395 | $54.50 |