PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2d14673655A4c8Ead26b4Acd10d154cAfA0F9b9B-1761640174578

0x2d14673655a4c8ead26b4acd10d154cafa0f9b9b

Realised P&L
$430.82
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$3.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? · Yes0.2300.150$3.00$1.60
Knicks vs. Pacers · Pacers0.1390.000$0.00$27.94
Hornets vs. Spurs · Hornets0.3100.000$0.00$92.38
Warriors vs. Wizards · Wizards0.2700.000$0.00$59.94
Suns vs. Pacers · Pacers0.2190.000$0.00$43.80
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.20
Pistons vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.5600.000$0.00$142.80
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers · Pacers0.1800.000$0.00$30.60
Lakers vs. Magic · Magic0.4200.000$0.00$123.90
Thunder vs. Magic · Magic0.2000.000$0.00$58.00
Pacers vs. Bulls · Bulls0.5870.000$0.00$126.58
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.5800.000$0.00$133.40
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? · No0.8000.000$0.00$108.80
Nuggets vs. Suns · Suns0.3400.000$0.00$85.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 09:25Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?SELL0.914$9.14
08-25 09:25Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?SELL0.85$17.00
07-25 07:46Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.9$9.00
07-23 09:24Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.955$9.55
06-22 10:08Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.944$9.44
04-18 11:11Hawks vs. KnicksBUY0.68$296.79
04-07 10:33Thunder vs. LakersBUY0.94$749.29
04-06 11:2076ers vs. SpursBUY0.77$292.36
04-03 09:33Pelicans vs. KingsBUY0.37$175.51
04-02 10:14Cavaliers vs. WarriorsBUY0.81$176.17
04-01 11:47Pacers vs. BullsBUY0.64$136.51
03-31 09:54Knicks vs. RocketsBUY0.5$105.73
03-30 08:01Celtics vs. HawksBUY0.51$126.59
03-29 13:40Heat vs. PacersBUY0.21$50.40
03-28 09:37Pistons vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.56$142.80