0x2d14673655A4c8Ead26b4Acd10d154cAfA0F9b9B-1761640174578
0x2d14673655a4c8ead26b4acd10d154cafa0f9b9b
- Realised P&L
- $430.82
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $3.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.150 | $3.00 | −$1.60 |
| Knicks vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.94 |
| Hornets vs. Spurs · Hornets | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.38 |
| Warriors vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.94 |
| Suns vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.219 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.80 |
| Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$142.80 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.60 |
| Lakers vs. Magic · Magic | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$123.90 |
| Thunder vs. Magic · Magic | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.00 |
| Pacers vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.587 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.58 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$133.40 |
| Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.80 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns · Suns | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$503.13at 0.457Pelicans vs. Kings
- +$442.18at 0.723Thunder vs. Lakers
- +$341.82at 0.605Hawks vs. Knicks
- +$268.22at 0.64576ers vs. Spurs
- +$224.32at 0.531Celtics vs. Hawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 09:25 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.914 | $9.14 |
| 08-25 09:25 | Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 07-25 07:46 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 07-23 09:24 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.955 | $9.55 |
| 06-22 10:08 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.944 | $9.44 |
| 04-18 11:11 | Hawks vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.68 | $296.79 |
| 04-07 10:33 | Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.94 | $749.29 |
| 04-06 11:20 | 76ers vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.77 | $292.36 |
| 04-03 09:33 | Pelicans vs. Kings | BUY | 0.37 | $175.51 |
| 04-02 10:14 | Cavaliers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.81 | $176.17 |
| 04-01 11:47 | Pacers vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.64 | $136.51 |
| 03-31 09:54 | Knicks vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.5 | $105.73 |
| 03-30 08:01 | Celtics vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.51 | $126.59 |
| 03-29 13:40 | Heat vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.21 | $50.40 |
| 03-28 09:37 | Pistons vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.56 | $142.80 |