Happening9014
0x2d0fbf6995692cc56f21171a9993be04436a81aa
- Realised P&L
- $24.0k
- Volume
- $3.68M
- Markets traded
- 4,996
- Open portfolio
- $234.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,996
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.125Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.852Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?
- +$757.62at 0.746Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 17?
- +$590.69at 0.409Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 6?
- +$542.52at 0.902Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 09-28 15:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-28 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9839532016 | $359.11 |
| 09-28 15:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 09-28 14:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 09-28 14:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.971875 | $77.75 |
| 09-28 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $120.88 |
| 09-28 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $119.79 |
| 09-28 13:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.55 |
| 09-28 13:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-28 13:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.79 |
| 09-28 12:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-28 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.3933333333 | $5.90 |
| 09-28 12:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.08 |
| 09-28 12:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |