ThomasSDCC
0x2d08c49a352939f9213efc21bb7d2675983c228e
- Realised P&L
- $-7.76
- Volume
- $275.96
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $84.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.695 | 0.633 | $45.56 | −$4.44 |
| Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.110 | $11.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.245 | $9.42 | −$0.58 |
| Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.495 | $7.86 | −$2.14 |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.610 | $4.88 | −$0.32 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $4.46 | −$0.54 |
| EU debt downgrade before 2027? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.280 | $1.68 | −$0.24 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 18:57 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 18:55 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 18:55 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.695263017 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 18:53 | Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 18:44 | Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |