0x2cFbe4588a6686E7D00e34784c00dCC8cF63cc11-1773365040721
0x2cfbe4588a6686e7d00e34784c00dcc8cf63cc11
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $132.7k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $17.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$499.57at 0.288Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?
- +$433.63at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 29?
- +$305.78at 0.125Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 22?
- +$217.33at 0.093Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?
- +$211.35at 0.457Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.076 | $19.87 |
| 09-15 21:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.076 | $0.76 |
| 08-27 22:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.053 | $30.51 |
| 08-14 20:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.0233179023 | $20.42 |
| 08-13 14:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.025 | $14.22 |
| 08-12 15:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.0819999954 | $15.25 |
| 08-12 15:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.0430000001 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 12:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.0125483417 | $8.42 |
| 08-07 12:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.0396876364 | $21.83 |
| 07-23 23:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.0729999967 | $19.37 |
| 07-22 13:05 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.002 | $9.68 |
| 07-21 15:27 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.11 |
| 07-21 12:38 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.003 | $15.31 |
| 07-20 14:15 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.007 | $40.39 |
| 07-20 11:07 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.83 |