PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2cFbe4588a6686E7D00e34784c00dCC8cF63cc11-1773365040721

0x2cfbe4588a6686e7d00e34784c00dcc8cf63cc11

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$132.7k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$17.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0760.063$17.10$3.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 28? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$44.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 7? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$8.42
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$28.37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 9? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$26.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$29.26
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 27-May 3? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$19.23
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven · Rico0.0700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 23? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$34.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$172.46
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$32.93
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00$14.00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 27? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$30.51
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 8? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$45.40
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$18.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:26Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15?BUY0.076$19.87
09-15 21:25Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15?BUY0.076$0.76
08-27 22:09Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 27?BUY0.053$30.51
08-14 20:16Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16?BUY0.0233179023$20.42
08-13 14:33Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16?BUY0.025$14.22
08-12 15:39Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16?BUY0.0819999954$15.25
08-12 15:38Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 12?BUY0.0430000001$20.00
08-07 12:02Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 7?BUY0.0125483417$8.42
08-07 12:00Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 7?BUY0.0396876364$21.83
07-23 23:04Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 23?BUY0.0729999967$19.37
07-22 13:05Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.002$9.68
07-21 15:27Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.003$3.11
07-21 12:38Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.003$15.31
07-20 14:15Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.007$40.39
07-20 11:07Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.007$9.83