vladius3
0x2cf7ea94f3ad6bdb4668ce5409aa233703f3294a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $542.6k
- Markets traded
- 446
- Open portfolio
- $13.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded446
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No | 0.739 | 0.915 | $6.2k | +$1.2k |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.909 | 0.984 | $3.8k | +$287.69 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.915 | $2.1k | −$11.23 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.821 | 0.795 | $871.07 | −$28.21 |
| Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.748 | 0.785 | $535.50 | +$25.23 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.900 | 0.905 | $416.30 | +$2.30 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.225 | $30.33 | −$0.67 |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev · Daniil Medvedev | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$141.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.546Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.442Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$1.1kat 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.0kat 0.407Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
- +$825.02at 0.675Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:35 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.1k |
| 10-18 20:54 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | SELL | 0.6548862145 | $144.75 |
| 10-18 19:09 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 18:48 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.5599999956 | $46.00 |
| 10-11 15:54 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $218.28 |
| 10-11 15:53 | Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7339449541 | $27.80 |
| 10-11 15:53 | Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.693069306 | $72.71 |
| 10-10 10:02 | Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6899997524 | $1.70 |
| 10-07 16:54 | Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $122.89 |
| 10-06 10:31 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $870.72 |
| 10-06 10:30 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $880.80 |
| 10-06 09:43 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $910.17 |
| 10-06 09:43 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.962 | $914.29 |
| 10-05 11:56 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 0.8 | $141.25 |
| 10-05 08:34 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |