PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vladius3

0x2cf7ea94f3ad6bdb4668ce5409aa233703f3294a

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$542.6k
Markets traded
446
Open portfolio
$13.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded446
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7390.915$6.2k+$1.2k
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · No0.9090.984$3.8k+$287.69
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9200.915$2.1k−$11.23
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? · No0.8210.795$871.07−$28.21
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027? · No0.7480.785$535.50+$25.23
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.9000.905$416.30+$2.30
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.2300.225$30.33−$0.67
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev · Daniil Medvedev0.8000.000$0.00−$141.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 08:35Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$2.1k
10-18 20:54Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsSELL0.6548862145$144.75
10-18 19:09Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsBUY0.3599999997$50.00
10-18 18:48Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsBUY0.5599999956$46.00
10-11 15:54Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?BUY0.83$218.28
10-11 15:53Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7339449541$27.80
10-11 15:53Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027?BUY0.693069306$72.71
10-10 10:02Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027?BUY0.6899997524$1.70
10-07 16:54Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027?BUY0.76$122.89
10-06 10:31Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri LeheckaBUY0.8799999999$870.72
10-06 10:30Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.9$880.80
10-06 09:43Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.93$910.17
10-06 09:43Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.962$914.29
10-05 11:56China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil MedvedevBUY0.8$141.25
10-05 08:34Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume MunarBUY0.709999998$100.00