PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2CeCBb34E24EfC3C981A9A4d0f093acAAeC68cB1-1779167739397

0x2cecbb34e24efc3c981a9a4d0f093acaaec68cb1

Realised P&L
$58.80
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$1.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes0.4400.435$1.98−$0.02
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$6.40
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$2.50
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5900.000$0.00−$2.95
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00−$8.00
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4120.000$0.00−$2.06
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$1.70
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.80
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4600.000$0.00−$2.30
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.76
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.70
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 · Under0.3700.000$0.00−$1.85
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4100.000$0.00−$2.05
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.04
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2900.000$0.00−$1.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 04:05Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.439999956$2.00
10-13 04:02Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.43$4.00
09-18 15:23Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4299999807$4.00
09-18 15:21Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.66$9.90
09-13 13:36Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.6$6.00
09-05 06:51Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.59$4.72
09-05 06:49Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.77$7.70
08-28 07:35Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.51$5.10
08-22 16:01Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.68$6.12
08-22 16:00Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.023$5.75
08-22 16:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.003$0.03
08-22 16:00US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL0.05$0.83
07-19 21:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2810784395$27.09
07-19 21:17Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.27$5.87
07-19 06:22Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.01$0.06