0x2CeCBb34E24EfC3C981A9A4d0f093acAAeC68cB1-1779167739397
0x2cecbb34e24efc3c981a9a4d0f093acaaec68cb1
- Realised P&L
- $58.80
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.90at 0.085Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.98at 0.567Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
- +$12.36at 0.647Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$7.65at 0.235Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
- +$7.44at 0.256Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 04:05 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 04:02 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 15:23 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 15:21 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.90 |
| 09-13 13:36 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-05 06:51 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.59 | $4.72 |
| 09-05 06:49 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 08-28 07:35 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-22 16:01 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.12 |
| 08-22 16:00 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.023 | $5.75 |
| 08-22 16:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 08-22 16:00 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.83 |
| 07-19 21:17 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2810784395 | $27.09 |
| 07-19 21:17 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.87 |
| 07-19 06:22 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |