rioskimberly
0x2ce9570269ff386a96d42624a680c58cba175c63
- Realised P&L
- $-5.39
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $6.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $1.84 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $1.64 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 27? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.37 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.27 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.02at 0.988Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 23?
- +$0.01at 0.990Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 20?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 20?
- +$0.00at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.63 |
| 07-02 13:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.9969999984 | $1.27 |
| 06-26 17:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.37 |
| 05-17 22:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.83 |
| 04-23 19:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.9979999828 | $1.74 |
| 03-02 08:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.96 |
| 02-23 06:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 23? | BUY | 0.9879997392 | $1.50 |
| 02-20 06:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 20? | BUY | 0.9899990862 | $1.04 |
| 02-12 09:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.25 |
| 02-10 09:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.45 |
| 01-30 16:58 | Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 01-30 16:42 | Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 01-30 16:41 | Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $999.77 |
| 01-30 16:26 | Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 01-30 16:25 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.0k |