PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rioskimberly

0x2ce9570269ff386a96d42624a680c58cba175c63

Realised P&L
$-5.39
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$6.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18? · No0.9961.000$1.84+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? · No0.9951.000$1.64+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 27? · No0.9981.000$1.37+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? · No0.9971.000$1.27+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 13:07Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28?BUY0.995$1.63
07-02 13:41Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3?BUY0.9969999984$1.27
06-26 17:40Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 27?BUY0.998$1.37
05-17 22:00Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?BUY0.996$1.83
04-23 19:23Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?BUY0.9979999828$1.74
03-02 08:37Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 3?BUY0.999$2.96
02-23 06:55Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 23?BUY0.9879997392$1.50
02-20 06:56Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 20?BUY0.9899990862$1.04
02-12 09:58Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12?BUY0.999$1.25
02-10 09:55Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 10?BUY0.999$1.45
01-30 16:58Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.998$1.0k
01-30 16:42Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.999$1.0k
01-30 16:41Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.998$999.77
01-30 16:26Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.999$1.0k
01-30 16:25Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$1.0k