PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rufus

0x2ce5a131bde66b0f9e466d6e52065734f5ace6a3

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$27.9k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$150.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6800.685$100.74+$0.74
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October? · Yes0.5700.365$32.02−$17.98
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3500.375$12.82+$0.85
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2800.285$5.09+$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 12:17Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3499999645$1.97
10-08 12:17Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October?BUY0.5699999967$50.00
10-08 12:142026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.2799999978$5.00
10-08 12:13Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.6799999981$100.00
10-08 12:12Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3499999948$10.00
04-10 12:53Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?SELL0.016$3.20
04-10 12:53Will Trump attend UFC 327?BUY0.947962928$100.00
03-27 17:53Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY0.9400749657$95.00
03-27 17:53Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?SELL0.1864575029$14.50
03-27 17:52Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?SELL0.5554239709$39.67
03-06 16:17Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY0.3599999954$28.00
03-06 14:52Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.7$50.00
03-06 14:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.019$50.00
02-18 11:59UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.7199999862$50.00
02-18 11:55Will Trump attend UFC 327?BUY0.3374689765$20.00