garrygu
0x2ce495c39e53aab72dc0dd048c97259c622ed707
- Realised P&L
- $-28.55
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $13.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.18at 0.340Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
- +$5.20at 0.284Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$4.73at 0.517Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$4.54at 0.527Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$4.02at 0.557Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 05:06 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.75 |
| 10-02 04:26 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 10-02 03:33 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999363 | $2.21 |
| 10-01 12:37 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-30 06:42 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-29 16:44 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-28 11:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999366 | $2.50 |
| 09-28 08:09 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.09 |
| 09-28 05:11 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 09-27 23:21 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.78 |
| 09-27 23:20 | Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 23:05 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.86 |
| 09-27 23:05 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-27 23:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.421 | $2.11 |
| 09-16 19:40 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.09 |