PolyBot

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Traders

garrygu

0x2ce495c39e53aab72dc0dd048c97259c622ed707

Realised P&L
$-28.55
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$13.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.7300.745$3.73+$0.07
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.5900.705$3.52+$0.57
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? · Yes0.1400.135$1.69−$0.06
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.4400.295$1.48−$0.73
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3800.285$1.43−$0.47
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.3800.285$1.43−$0.47
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5350.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026? · Yes0.2090.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · No0.7070.000$0.00−$3.54
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 05:06U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?BUY0.14$1.75
10-02 04:26Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.59$2.95
10-02 03:33Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4399999363$2.21
10-01 12:37Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.38$1.90
09-30 06:42Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.73$3.65
09-29 16:44Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.38$1.90
09-28 11:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4399999366$2.50
09-28 08:09Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.62$3.09
09-28 05:11Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.7$3.50
09-27 23:21Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.14$0.78
09-27 23:20Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.8$4.00
09-27 23:05Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.37$1.86
09-27 23:05Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.29$1.45
09-27 23:05Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.421$2.11
09-16 19:40Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.12$1.09