MaiP120
0x2ce36bb42acf2e728934d3af049176f1ae6f966b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $2.15M
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.356Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$5.1kat 0.615Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.370Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.375Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$1.2kat 0.389 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 23:18 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 23:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $23.70 |
| 07-08 16:34 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0801084488 | $23.64 |
| 07-08 16:34 | Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $183.26 |
| 07-08 16:31 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.16 | $719.96 |
| 07-08 09:50 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.138 | $75.90 |
| 07-08 09:47 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.138 | $165.60 |
| 07-08 09:46 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $200.00 |
| 07-08 09:45 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1366576016 | $263.01 |
| 07-08 09:44 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.16 | $719.96 |
| 07-07 00:56 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 00:19 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.16 | $35.00 |
| 06-26 02:28 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.126 | $28.58 |
| 06-26 02:25 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1243980546 | $36.32 |
| 06-26 02:24 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1222419788 | $27.28 |