PolyBot

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Traders

MaiP120

0x2ce36bb42acf2e728934d3af049176f1ae6f966b

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$2.21M
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$576.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0520.131$146.81+$88.31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1500.115$124.20$37.66
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0890.065$100.09$37.56
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0610.048$79.75$22.13
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0220.035$47.05+$17.05
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0150.011$45.98$20.04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0360.116$32.64+$22.47
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$10.50
Sabres vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.4300.000$0.00$15.00
Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers0.3700.000$0.00$15.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.2630.000$0.00$118.52
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$10.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00$40.00
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$15.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$190.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 19:32Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0096883869$44.16
08-20 19:32Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.11$118.80
08-20 19:31Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1110723664$363.76
08-20 19:30Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.115$644.00
08-20 19:29Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1165947242$653.05
08-14 04:18Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1317586147$121.74
08-14 04:18Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.12$100.80
08-14 04:18Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.126$47.25
08-14 04:17Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.011$29.37
08-14 04:17Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.06$100.09
08-14 04:13Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.1880542562$107.10
08-14 04:12Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.0073986611$24.48
08-14 04:12Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.005$27.78
08-10 16:41Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.124$2.1k
07-19 23:18Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1099999982$50.00