Golkens
0x2ce041d330ade5264059b94e3228dc58ca49ccb8
- Realised P&L
- $8.57
- Volume
- $944.79
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $24.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.214 | $15.21 | +$2.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.360 | $9.72 | +$3.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.30at 0.486Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 2?
- +$3.80at 0.284Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 3?
- +$3.24at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 30?
- +$-0.11at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 4?
- +$-0.21at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.235 | $9.40 |
| 10-02 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.247999963 | $1.50 |
| 10-02 17:31 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 10-02 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 10-02 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.28 |
| 10-02 14:46 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.92 |
| 10-02 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.158999996 | $1.92 |
| 10-02 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.992 | $0.50 |
| 10-02 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.992 | $0.99 |
| 10-02 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 10-02 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.96 |
| 10-02 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.158999981 | $1.12 |
| 10-02 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.84 |
| 10-02 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 10-02 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |