PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Golkens

0x2ce041d330ade5264059b94e3228dc58ca49ccb8

Realised P&L
$8.57
Volume
$944.79
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$24.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3? · Yes0.1740.214$15.21+$2.85
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 4? · Yes0.2340.360$9.72+$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 21:01Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3?SELL0.235$9.40
10-02 18:54Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.247999963$1.50
10-02 17:31Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.16$0.80
10-02 16:37Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.15$1.05
10-02 15:46Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.16$1.28
10-02 14:46Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.16$1.92
10-02 14:21Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.158999996$1.92
10-02 14:05Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 2?SELL0.992$0.50
10-02 14:05Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 2?SELL0.992$0.99
10-02 13:23Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on October 2?SELL0.001$0.00
10-02 12:56Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 4?BUY0.28$1.96
10-02 12:50Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.158999981$1.12
10-02 11:54Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 4?BUY0.23$1.84
10-02 11:23Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 2?SELL0.06$0.60
10-02 11:22Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 2?SELL0.07$0.35