PolyBot

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Traders

0x2cdd1f64636a22b4651f1dbc8de5e09dd567e46d

0x2cdd1f64636a22b4651f1dbc8de5e09dd567e46d

Realised P&L
$-92.74
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
680
Open portfolio
$175.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded680
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11? · No0.4261.000$28.56+$16.38
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 11? · Yes0.7001.000$19.99+$5.99
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 11? · No0.3230.495$13.86+$4.82
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12? · Yes0.5600.650$13.00+$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 11? · Yes0.2060.445$12.80+$6.87
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 11? · No0.4420.540$12.60+$2.29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 12? · Yes0.5100.540$10.80+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 12? · No0.5550.515$10.30−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? · No0.4190.490$10.14+$1.48
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 11? · No0.3420.420$8.32+$1.54
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 12? · Yes0.6000.415$8.30−$3.70
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 12? · No0.4340.345$7.85−$2.04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12? · Yes0.6300.390$4.03−$2.48
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 11? · No0.3000.395$3.42+$0.82
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 12? · Yes0.5410.545$3.26+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 21:11Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on October 8?BUY0.998$0.88
10-08 21:05Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 8?BUY0.9989999997$14.98
10-08 21:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8?BUY0.9989999345$15.00
10-08 20:33Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 8?BUY0.999$15.00
10-08 20:26Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?BUY0.9973351064$15.00
10-08 20:25Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8?BUY0.9989999345$15.00
10-08 20:18Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8?BUY0.998933339$15.00
10-08 20:15Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 8?BUY0.9989999345$15.00
10-08 20:14Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 8?BUY0.998$14.97
10-08 20:10Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8?BUY0.9989999345$15.00
10-08 20:06Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 8?BUY0.9989999997$14.98
10-08 20:01Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 8?BUY0.997$15.00
10-08 19:17Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 8?BUY0.999$9.99
10-08 19:11Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on October 8?BUY0.999$9.99
10-08 19:02Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8?BUY0.997$15.00