0x2cdd1f64636a22b4651f1dbc8de5e09dd567e46d
0x2cdd1f64636a22b4651f1dbc8de5e09dd567e46d
- Realised P&L
- $-92.74
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 680
- Open portfolio
- $175.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded680
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.87at 0.284Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 11?
- +$17.40at 0.377Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 10?
- +$9.60at 0.520Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 11?
- +$6.08at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11?
- +$4.56at 0.448Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $0.88 |
| 10-08 21:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9989999997 | $14.98 |
| 10-08 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9989999345 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 20:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 20:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9973351064 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 20:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9989999345 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.998933339 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 20:15 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9989999345 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 10-08 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9989999345 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 20:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9989999997 | $14.98 |
| 10-08 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 19:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.00 |